Finance.
Wall Street narratives, with a settlement date.
Macro and finance markets give New Yorkers a way to put a number on the questions south of Canal Street is already debating: Fed cuts, recession risk, inflation prints, earnings beats. The same arguments that happen on Hudson Street trading floors, with a clearing house attached.
Markets to watch
The finance board
Fed cuts rates in September
Hudson Street is leaning dovish. So is the curve.
68¢▲ 5US enters recession by mid-2027
The R-word is fading off desks south of Canal.
24¢▼ 3Where to play
Platforms for finance
OG
Live
NY: Available
Crypto.com's prediction-market app: trade $25, get $25 in rewards with code NYPREDICTS. Sports, culture, macro and trending contracts, live in New York.
Culture & trending
Sports & macro
Mobile-first traders
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Polymarket
Live
NY: Available
The world's most-watched prediction market — deposit $10 and get a $25 trading bonus.
News & politics
Macro narrative tracking
ReviewAff.We earn a commission on partner signups. Disclosure.
Kalshi
Live
NY: Available
CFTC-regulated event contracts on politics, economics, and culture.
Politics
Macro & Fed
Culture outcomes
ReviewAff.We earn a commission on partner signups. Disclosure.
Read more
Related guides
From the desk
Articles in Finance
Where to trade this
Trade Finance markets on
- CFTC-regulated event contracts on politics, economics, and culture.
- Crypto.com's prediction-market app: trade $25, get $25 in rewards with code NYPREDICTS. Sports, culture, macro and trending contracts, live in New York.
Aff.We earn a commission on partner signups. Disclosure.
FAQ
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Frequently asked questions
How are these different from trading futures?
Event contracts price discrete outcomes (a CPI print, a Fed meeting result) instead of continuous prices. They're regulated but mechanically simpler than futures — closer to a binary you'd talk through over a martini at Keens than a CME spread.
Are macro markets liquid?
Flagship Fed and CPI markets carry meaningful liquidity. Niche questions can be thin.
Who regulates Kalshi's macro contracts?
The CFTC. Kalshi is a designated contract market, which is why event contracts on Fed policy, CPI, and jobs prints are legal for US users.
Can I hedge real portfolio exposure with these?
In principle, yes — Fed-decision and CPI contracts pay based on the same data that moves rates markets. In practice, size is capped and basis is imperfect; they're more useful as directional expression than as institutional hedges.
What's the New York edge in trading macro markets?
Proximity to sell-side research, Fed watchers, and the trading floors that price these events first. If you already read Fed minutes for work, you have signal the median trader doesn't.
How do CPI and Fed markets settle?
By the BLS release for CPI and the FOMC statement for Fed decisions, at the precise thresholds published in each market's rulebook before the print.
18+ · T&Cs apply · Terms
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.