Politics.
From Gracie Mansion to the White House, by the percent.
Political prediction markets are where New Yorkers' arguments get a price. From the mayor's race to presidential primaries to Albany fights over the MTA budget, the city's biggest debates show up here as live numbers — the same arguments you'd hear at a Park Slope dinner party, only with a settlement date.
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Related guides
What Are Prediction Markets?
Prediction markets are venues where you buy and sell contracts tied to the outcome of real-world events — elections, Fed decisions, sports r…
Are Prediction Markets Legal in New York?
Federally regulated event-contract exchanges — Kalshi and Polymarket's US affiliate — are broadly available to New York residents under CFTC…
Articles in Politics
NYC Mayor Odds: What Kalshi and Polymarket Are Pricing
Live prediction-market odds on the New York City mayoral race — how Kalshi and Polymarket have priced the field, and what the latest contracts say now.
Mamdani Is the Mayor Market — Now What Comes Next
Polymarket's primary contract closed at 100% on June 24, 2025. The active market is the general election, the coalition, and what the next twelve months actually look like.
Albany Joins the Turf Battle: NY's Move to Regulate Prediction Markets
State Sen. Joseph Addabbo is advancing a New York prediction-market bill. The Third Circuit just sided with Kalshi on preemption. Both fights land in Albany at once.
Albany Wants a Prediction Market License — and a Cut
State Senator Jeremy Cooney is drafting a NY licensing framework for prediction markets. Kalshi has tripled its lobbying spend. The fight has moved to Albany.
CFTC Sues New York: What It Means for Prediction Markets
Federal regulators are suing New York over who gets to police prediction markets. Plain-English read for anyone trading from a NY address.
Polymarket NYC Mayor Odds: Live Market for the 2026 Race
City Hall, by the percent. The Polymarket NYC mayor market called Mamdani's 2025 primary at ~100% before polling did — here's what it's pricing now.
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- MiamiPredictionMarketsMiami & Florida prediction-market legality and access.
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