Politics.
From Gracie Mansion to the White House, by the percent.
Political prediction markets are where New Yorkers' arguments get a price. From the mayor's race to presidential primaries to Albany fights over the MTA budget, the city's biggest debates show up here as live numbers — the same arguments you'd hear at a Park Slope dinner party, only with a settlement date.
Markets to watch
The politics board
Mamdani approval above 50% at 100 days
City Hall's honeymoon, priced block by block.
47¢▼ 2Where to play
Platforms for politics
OG
Live
NY: Available
Crypto.com's prediction-market app: trade $25, get $25 in rewards with code NYPREDICTS. Sports, culture, macro and trending contracts, live in New York.
Culture & trending
Sports & macro
Mobile-first traders
ReviewAff.We earn a commission on partner signups. Disclosure.
Polymarket
Live
NY: Available
The world's most-watched prediction market — deposit $10 and get a $25 trading bonus.
News & politics
Macro narrative tracking
ReviewAff.We earn a commission on partner signups. Disclosure.
Kalshi
Live
NY: Available
CFTC-regulated event contracts on politics, economics, and culture.
Politics
Macro & Fed
Culture outcomes
ReviewAff.We earn a commission on partner signups. Disclosure.
Read more
Related guides
From the desk
Articles in Politics
- NYC Mayor Odds: How Kalshi and Polymarket Priced the 2025 Race
- Mamdani and the Mayor Market: How the 2025 General Election Traded
- Albany's Turf Battle: NY Prediction Market Regulation Now
- Albany's Prediction Market Bills: Where They Stand (2026)
- CFTC v. New York: Where the Prediction Market Fight Stands (2026)
- Polymarket NYC Mayor Odds: How the 2025 Race Traded (Recap)
Where to trade this
Trade Politics markets on
- CFTC-regulated event contracts on politics, economics, and culture.
- The world's most-watched prediction market — deposit $10 and get a $25 trading bonus.
Aff.We earn a commission on partner signups. Disclosure.
FAQ
Across the network
More from our sibling sites
- Prediction Ranks HQIndependent rankings of every legal US prediction-market venue.
- PredictionWins.comOutcome-focused reviews, comparisons, and platform guides.
- MiamiPredictionMarketsMiami & Florida prediction-market legality and access.
Network sites owned by AffiliatePredictions. Editorial links — no payment involved. See the full network
Frequently asked questions
Are political prediction markets legal in New York?
Federally regulated venues like Kalshi offer political event contracts to US users, with state-by-state nuance. Polymarket's app is accessible to New Yorkers. Both operate under active CFTC and state-level scrutiny — confirm before trading.
How accurate are political prediction markets?
They aggregate real-money beliefs and tend to track or lead polls — but they're not infallible. They reflect what traders think, not what will happen.
Where can I trade the NYC mayoral race?
Polymarket and Kalshi both list NYC mayoral contracts in cycle. Liquidity spikes around debates, primaries, and the general election.
Do prediction markets cover Albany and state races?
Yes, when the race is high-profile enough — gubernatorial contests, AG races, and marquee legislative fights. Local council races rarely see contracts.
How do political markets settle?
By official result: certified vote counts, concession, or the seating of the winner, per the specific market rulebook. Contested outcomes push settlement out.
Are these markets manipulated?
Large trades can move short-term prices, but sustained mispricings tend to attract counter-flow. Kalshi's CFTC oversight adds surveillance that offshore books historically lacked.
18+ · T&Cs apply · Terms
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.