New York · Prediction Markets

NY prediction markets: which apps to use in
New York (2026)

Compare Kalshi, Polymarket US, OG, ProphetX and other platforms, all reviewed by a 15-year iGaming and sportsbook professional, written for the city that already prices the news in real time.

Trade on ProphetX (opens in a new tab) Trade on Kalshi (opens in a new tab) Compare all 8

New York · Updated October 15, 2026

Start trading · Reader offers

  • ProphetX

    Trade $50, Earn $75!

    49 states + D.C.

    Trade on ProphetX (opens in a new tab)
    21+ · T&Cs apply · Terms

    New users only. T&Cs apply. ProphetX's minimum age is 18 (or the local age of majority if higher); we recommend 21+. Not available in Nevada. Trading involves risk.

  • Kalshi

    Trade $25 and Get $25!

    47 states + D.C.

    Trade on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)
    21+ · T&Cs apply · Terms

    Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.

  • Polymarket US

    Deposit $10 get a $25 Trading Bonus!

    49 states + D.C.

    Trade on Polymarket US (opens in a new tab)
    21+ · T&Cs apply · Terms

    18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.

  • OG

    Trade $25 Get $50 in Rewards! (New users only)

    42 states + D.C.

    Trade on OG (opens in a new tab)
    21+ · T&Cs apply · Terms

    Paid partnership with OG. Terms and conditions apply. Trading derivatives involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Availability subject to jurisdictional limitations. For more information, visit: OG.com.

NY Prediction Markets earns commissions when readers sign up to partner platforms through our links. Editorial coverage is independent of those commissions.

In plain English

Last updated: October 15, 2026

What is NY Prediction Markets?

NY Prediction Markets is an independent editorial guide to prediction markets for New Yorkers. Four partner platforms accept New York residents: Kalshi, Polymarket US, OG and ProphetX. OG is Crypto.com's prediction-market app (trade $25, get $50 in rewards with code NYPREDICTS), and Novig (opens in a new tab)'s peer-to-peer sports app is available in New York too (deposit $10, get $50 in trade credits). Three platforms (Sleeper, Chalkboard and Rebet) are travel-only under NY's DFS and sweepstakes rules. We cover the markets the city is already trading on the 4/5/6, at the bar, and in the group chat: Knicks playoffs, the mayoral race, Fed-cut odds, Met Gala outcomes. Founded and edited by Catie Di Stefano, who has spent 15 years in the regulated gambling industry.

Are prediction markets legal in New York?

Available for now, and disputed. As of October 13, 2026, federally regulated event-contract exchanges like Kalshi accept New York residents, and Polymarket US accepts New York residents too (welcome offer valid in 49 states plus D.C.). New York sued Kalshi on July 31, 2026 and Polymarket US on September 24, 2026, alleging unlicensed gambling; both cases are pending, so access could change. OG (Crypto.com's prediction-market app) gives $50 in rewards for new traders who trade $25 with code NYPREDICTS, available in New York (welcome offer covers 42 states plus D.C.). Novig's peer-to-peer sports app is available in New York too. DFS pick'em apps (Sleeper, Chalkboard) and sweepstakes-style sports apps (Rebet) are not available from inside NY: they're travel-only for New Yorkers. For the full picture, read our NY legality guide or browse the platforms comparison. For a national view beyond New York, our sibling site has every legal venue ranked (opens in a new tab).

What is Kalshi?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated event-contracts exchange where you trade Yes/No contracts on real-world outcomes: elections, Fed decisions, weather, sports, culture. Each contract settles at $1 if the event happens and $0 if it doesn't, so the price between is the market's probability. Kalshi accepts New York residents (status: Available, dispute pending, as of October 13, 2026; the state is suing it) and runs on iPhone, Android, and desktop. New traders get a $25 bonus with code NYPREDICTS. For the deep dive, see our Kalshi explainer and the full Kalshi review.

Kalshi vs Polymarket - which is better for New Yorkers?

Both accept New Yorkers today, and New York is suing both; the cases are pending. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, runs on iPhone, Android and desktop, and dominates US politics, macro, and Fed-decision markets. Polymarket has deeper global and cultural markets and a US app that accepts New Yorkers. For NY-specific markets like the mayoral race or Knicks contracts, Kalshi tends to have tighter spreads; Polymarket tends to have more long-tail markets. Full breakdown in our Kalshi vs Polymarket comparison.

Is Kalshi legit?

Yes. Kalshi is a Designated Contract Market regulated by the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the same federal regulator that oversees CME futures. Risk of loss is still real, and although the venue is federally regulated, New York sued Kalshi on July 31, 2026, alleging it needs a state license; that case is pending. See our independent NYC-trader review of Kalshi.

At a glance

Prediction market platforms for New Yorkers, compared

PlatformAvailable in NY?Best forNew-trader bonus
KalshiAvailable, dispute pending; offer valid in 47 states + D.C. (not MI, NV, WA)Politics, macro, Fed oddsTrade $25, get $25, code NYPREDICTS
PolymarketAvailable, dispute pending; offer valid in 49 states plus D.C.Global, cultural, long-tail$25 after $10 deposit, code NYPREDICTS
OGAvailable, dispute pending; offer covers 42 states + D.C., including New YorkCulture, sports & trending marketsTrade $25, get $50, code NYPREDICTS
ProphetXAvailable, dispute pending; offer valid in 49 states + D.C. (not NV)Sports, peer-to-peer exchangeTrade $50, get $75, code NYPREDICTS
NovigAvailable, dispute pending; 47 states + D.C., including New YorkPeer-to-peer sportsDeposit $10, get $50, code NYPREDICTS
Not available in New York (only when you travel)
RebetTravel-only (38 states + D.C.)Social sweepstakes sports100% match (travel-only)
SleeperTravel-onlyDFS pick'emVaries by state
ChalkboardTravel-onlyPlayer props, pick'emVaries by state

Offers checked October 14, 2026. "Travel-only" means New Yorkers can sign up and play only when physically located in an eligible US state.

Notes from Catie

What we're watching this week

Politics · from Park Slope

"The mayoral field hasn't settled and Kalshi's pricing is moving faster than the polling, faster than the Brooklyn Paper, faster than the F train."

Sports · from Midtown

"Knicks playoff odds keep drifting up on Garden nights. Watch the post-game minutes on the 1 train home, not just the box score."

The latest

News

Editorial only. No recommendations to trade, just where the conversation already is.

All news

Updated

Recently updated

Latest

News

Bitcoin & XRP Contracts: How to Read the Swings

A threshold contract and a range contract on the same coin can move in opposite directions on the same day. Here is how each format works, what settles it and what happens exactly on the boundary.

Catie Di Stefano

All news

The platforms

Best for…

A short list of where to start, sorted by what you actually care about.

All platforms

  • Best for sports

    ProphetX

    • CFTC-designated exchange since June 2026
    • Sports event contracts, game lines and props
    • New York: available, dispute pending (as of October 13, 2026)
  • Best for politics & the Fed

    Kalshi

    • CFTC-designated exchange since November 2020
    • Politics, the Fed, the economy, weather and sports
    • New York: available, dispute pending (as of October 13, 2026)
  • Deepest markets

    Polymarket US

    • CFTC-designated exchange (QCX LLC) since July 2025
    • News, politics and culture markets
    • New York: available, dispute pending (as of October 13, 2026)
  • Culture & trending markets

    OG

    • Crypto.com's prediction-market app on a CFTC-regulated exchange
    • Sports, culture, macro and trending contracts
    • New York: available, dispute pending (as of October 13, 2026)

Tonight in New York

Three picks, from the city's calendar

Editorial only. No recommendations to trade — just where the conversation already is.

Tonight at the Garden

Knicks at home, event-style contracts

Kalshi's Knicks series and player-milestone contracts are one way New Yorkers can put a number on a Garden night. Polymarket's app carries the same beat.

This week, City Hall

Mayoral race, watch-party energy

The field's still finding its shape. Kalshi's live numbers are quietly becoming dinner-party material from the UWS to Park Slope.

Broadway

A new musical making a Tony run

OG lists fast-moving cultural markets that move with each round of nominations — $50 in rewards when you trade $25 for new traders with code NYPREDICTS. Kalshi covers the bigger awards-season questions from inside NY.

The basics

What is a prediction market, anyway?

A two-minute primer for the New Yorker who's heard the term six times this week.

Read the full guide

01

A market on an outcome

Each contract pays $1 if the event happens, $0 if it doesn't.

02

The price is the probability

Example: a contract at 62¢ means the market puts the chance at about 62%.

03

You can sell anytime

Trade the price like a stock, not just the final result.

The masthead

Catie Di Stefano

Edited by Catie Di Stefano

Founder & Editor-in-Chief

Catie Di Stefano has spent 15 years in the regulated gambling industry, starting at Betsson Group in Malta and spending nearly five years at Gaming Innovation Group (GiG) — including a 2018 relocation to Marbella, Spain as a B2B CRM Executive to lead the launch of Hard Rock Online Casino and Sportsbook after the repeal of PASPA — before going independent, including a later licensed engagement with Hard Rock Hotel & Casino Atlantic City under a New Jersey DGE vendor license. She's interviewed NY State Senator Joseph Addabbo Jr twice on iCasino regulation and tax revenue, and shared a panel with him and FanDuel's SVP of Public Policy at SBC New Jersey on New York's iGaming rollout. She went on to build the OnlineGamblers.com brand and hold marketing director roles at Smartico.ai and Vegas Kings, and has been named to multiple iGamingExpress industry rankings. She now covers regulated prediction markets full-time.

Common questions

New York's questions about prediction markets, answered.

What is a prediction market?

A prediction market is a venue where you trade contracts tied to the outcome of a real-world event — an election, a Fed decision, a Knicks playoff run, the next snowstorm to cancel alternate-side parking. Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so the price between those two numbers reflects the market's probability that it will.

What's the best prediction-market signup bonus right now?

Three reader offers, all with code NYPREDICTS: OG gives new traders $50 in rewards when you trade $25 (Crypto.com's prediction-market app — sports, culture, macro, trending; available in 42 states plus D.C., including New York). Polymarket gives a $25 trading bonus after a $10 deposit (US app, 49 states plus D.C., New York included). ProphetX gives $75 when you trade $50 (sports-first, CFTC-licensed, live in New York). Kalshi gives $25 back when you trade $25 (CFTC-regulated; iPhone, Android and desktop; 48 US jurisdictions including New York). Use code NYPREDICTS at signup on any of the three.

Are prediction markets legal in New York?

Yes, for now. As of September 29, 2026, federally regulated event-contract exchanges like Kalshi accept New York residents — though New York is suing Kalshi and Polymarket in a fight over whether state gambling law applies (see our legality guide), Polymarket's US app is available in 49 states plus D.C., New York included, and ProphetX — CFTC-licensed and sports-first — is live in 49 states plus D.C., New York included. OG (Crypto.com's prediction-market app) gives $50 in rewards for new traders who trade $25 with code NYPREDICTS, available in New York (live in 42 states plus D.C.). Novig, a peer-to-peer sports app, is also available in New York (deposit $10, get $50 in trade credits with code NYPREDICTS). DFS pick'em apps (Sleeper, Chalkboard) and sweepstakes-style sports apps (Rebet) are not legal to play from inside NY: they're travel-only for New Yorkers. For the full picture, read our NY legality guide or browse the platforms comparison. For a national view beyond New York, our sibling site has every legal venue ranked.

Where can New Yorkers legally trade prediction markets?

NY Prediction Markets is an independent editorial guide to prediction markets for New Yorkers. Five platforms are recommendable from inside NY: Polymarket, ProphetX (sports-first), Kalshi, OG (Crypto.com's prediction-market app; trade $25, get $50 in rewards with code NYPREDICTS) and Novig, a peer-to-peer sports app (deposit $10, get $50 in trade credits with code NYPREDICTS). Three other apps (Sleeper, Chalkboard and Rebet) are travel-only under NY's DFS and sweepstakes rules. We cover the markets the city is already trading on the 4/5/6, at the bar, and in the group chat: Knicks playoffs, the mayoral race, Fed-cut odds, Met Gala outcomes. Founded and edited by Catie Di Stefano, a 14+ year iGaming marketing veteran.

Why can't I play Sleeper, Chalkboard, or Rebet from New York?

NY treats DFS-style pick'em products (Sleeper Picks, Chalkboard) and sweepstakes-style social sports apps (Rebet) as restricted under the NY State Gaming Commission framework and NY Penal Law Art. 225. Sleeper actually pulled Picks from NY when state fantasy-sports rules took effect. The NY alternatives are CFTC-regulated event-contract exchanges (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX), OG, the Novig peer-to-peer sports app, and licensed mobile sportsbooks. New Yorkers can still sign up and play the travel-only platforms when physically located in an eligible state.

What's the best prediction market platform for sports in NY?

For Knicks, Yankees, and Mets coverage from inside NY: ProphetX is the sports-first, CFTC-licensed specialist (trade $50, get $75 with code NYPREDICTS), Kalshi runs CFTC-regulated event-style sports contracts where eligible, and Polymarket's app carries the same beat. Novig's peer-to-peer sports app also works from NY (deposit $10, get $50 in trade credits with code NYPREDICTS). Pick'em apps like Sleeper and Chalkboard aren't legal from NY — they're travel-only.

How do prediction market odds work?

A contract trading at 62¢ means the market thinks there's roughly a 62% chance of that outcome. If the event happens, the contract settles at $1; if not, $0. You can also sell before settlement, like a stock — so the moving price tells the story in real time, the same way a Knicks line moves between innings on the bar TV.

What is Kalshi?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated event-contracts exchange where you trade Yes/No contracts on real-world outcomes: elections, Fed decisions, weather, sports, culture. Each contract settles at $1 if the event happens and $0 if it doesn't, so the price between is the market's probability. Kalshi is available in 48 US jurisdictions including New York, where the state is suing it, and runs on iPhone, Android, and desktop.

Kalshi vs Polymarket — which is better for New Yorkers?

Both accept New Yorkers today, and New York is suing both; the cases are pending. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, available on iPhone, Android and desktop, and dominates US politics, macro, and Fed-decision markets. Polymarket has deeper global and cultural markets and a US app live in 49 states plus D.C., New York included. For NY-specific markets like the mayoral race or Knicks contracts, Kalshi tends to have tighter spreads; Polymarket tends to have more obscure long-tail markets. New traders get $25 on Kalshi and a $25 bonus on Polymarket with code NYPREDICTS.

Is Kalshi legit?

Kalshi is a Designated Contract Market regulated by the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the same federal regulator that oversees CME futures. It is legally distinct from a sportsbook or casino. Risk of loss is still real, and although the venue is federally regulated, New York sued Kalshi on July 31, 2026, alleging it needs a state license; that case is pending.

Is this site independent?

Yes. NY Prediction Markets is editorially independent and founded by Catie Di Stefano, who has spent 15 years in the regulated gambling industry and has spoken on New York's gaming market at Next.io New York and SBC Summit North America. We earn affiliate commissions from some partner platforms; coverage is independent of those commissions, and we keep platforms whose US legal status is unsettled at arm's length.

21+

Responsible Use · New York

Prediction markets and related products involve real risk of loss. Eligibility and product availability vary by state. Never trade money you can't afford to lose. If gambling is causing harm in New York, call 1-877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY to 467369. More at nyproblemgambling.org (opens in a new tab).

Affiliate Transparency

NY Prediction Markets earns commissions when readers sign up to partner platforms through our links. Editorial coverage is independent of those commissions, and we maintain a separate, conservative posture on platforms whose US status is unsettled. Read the full disclosure.